News 6 political analyst provides election perspective

News 6 political analyst provides election perspective


results 2018 coverage continues now on this election day and UCF professor in News six political analyst Jim Clark joins us now to give us some perspective on some of the key races and Jim we were talking about a crazy turnout so far absolutely it’s the largest turnout in a generation already over five million people voted early that’s two million more than four years ago for the off year election just amazing and we think will come close to 60% of the vote overall right and that’s incredible for midterms it is absolutely incredible absolutely right do you think that increased turnout will favor one party over another we have no idea we know who voted and and what numbers yeah for example we know Republicans and Democrats early voting or equal we just don’t know who they voted for yeah so this race though is going to be decided by independence we think that the Republicans and Democrats will kind of cancel one another out and independents are gonna carry the day for whoever wins and you talked about that turnout you think there will be people lining up all the way up until 7:00 and we’re in for a long night here I think so if you’re in line remember you get to vote so don’t say oh it’s you know it’s if you’re in line at 7:00 they will let you vote already we’re hearing reports of some long lines big turnout remember we’re gonna know here fairly early about Peninsula results but the panhandles on a different time zone so their polls closed an hour later so it may be a while before we get all the results tonight and some races in Florida of course getting national attention let’s go ahead and start with the Senate race I mean this is the first time in a while Bill Nelson has had really a strong competitor yeah he is coasted to victory in the past and this is a race of national importance for both parties if the if the Democrats are gonna retake the Senate bill Nelson has to win so we’re gonna know by about 9:00 o’clock tonight if there’s any chance of the Democrats we taste retake the Senate if he loses that’s the ballgame and when it comes to the house I was reading something this morning talking about nationwide it could be weeks before we know there were outcome of all the results because some of the races especially in areas like California are gonna be so close they think exactly we’ve never seen this many races pull so closely all within the margin of error I think two-thirds of the Senate races or in the margin of error this this just doesn’t happen usually incumbent senators coast to victory sometimes have token opposition but we are seeing a brawl out there and what will happen with the governor’s race you know we have a very tight race here between the Santos and Gilliam what are the what ups here with that and the balance of power in Tallahassee oh it’s unbelievably important and first of all strange ways if you are the governor your political party is listed on the ballot first so the this year the Republican candidates are on top and the Democratic candidates are underneath on the ballot which helps that party a lot of people who don’t know about a particular racial just vote for the first one also redistricting is coming up and the governor is going to have a huge say in that and if there’s a Republican legislature which seems certain and a Republican governor they’re gonna be able to control the entire process a lot of polls do have Gilliam ahead but we learned a few years ago we can’t really trust the polls no and in fact just six months ago we were sitting here talking about how it looked like it would be Adam Putnam and Gwen Graham yeah boy were we wrong so yeah you can’t trust the polls although out of 30 polls De Santis has only led in one poll the Senate race has gone back and forth for six months now yeah it’ll be interesting to see how that goes and the bulk of the voting process has to do with amendments so can we kind of give us an idea of which amendments we might be watching a little more closely well the key here in all the amendments is 60% you have to get 60% agreement which is awfully difficult it’s been almost impossible since they raised it from 50 to 60% I’m not sure we could get 60% of us to agree and so I think perhaps one is going to pass the exemption tax exemption to has a good chance of passing the felon are getting their voting rights back is polling extremely well 60 70 % that’s a lot of celebrity support as well yes and we’ll see when people walk into the polls if that if that actually is the outcome but the others I think are going to struggle to get to 60 percent and the house race Miller versus Murphy wow this is going to be a big one was Stephanie Murphy’s upset of John mica two years ago just a flash in the pan or has the district really gone democratic and we’re gonna find that out tonight with Mike Miller and Stephanie Murphy and you’re gonna be with us throughout the day today I will be I’m here for the duration so you put a cot in the newsroom and we’ll see you throughout the day morning back and tomorrow morning back here some cake ups for you and don’t forget if you need a ride to the polls today some ride-sharing apps are helping out uber offering 10 bucks off for people who are headed out to vote and they’ll even help you find your polling place if you’re not sure where you’re supposed to go lyft is offering a 50% off code for its passengers

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